Tuesday, May 28, 2024

War News


You've probably noticed there's been movement on Ostfront, with Russia moving back into Kharkov Oblast and more besides, not least an MOD shakeup. Big Serge gives an excellent analysis, concluding:

The trajectory of the war suggests that the NATO bloc will do everything in its power to prop up Ukraine’s strike capabilities, and that Ukraine will continue to hunt for high profile strategic assets, even as it continues to be ground down in the critical theater, which is the Donbas. When the AFU is finally ejected from their last toeholds along the line - losing Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, being squeezed out of southern Donetsk Oblast, and forced back on the west bank of the Oskil, the temptation in Kiev will be to blame the west - that they gave too little, too slowly, too late. This is one lie that they must not be allowed to get away with. The NATO Bloc has, virtually without exception, given Ukraine everything they’ve asked for. It just didn’t matter.


If you missed the above link, you can read the whole thing here.




Well Seasoned Fool said...

If I were a betting man, I would bet on Russia.

LSP said...

The thing is, WSF, everyone keeps going to war against Russia, see Boney and Der Fuhrer, and they lose. I call safe bet.

Wild, wild west said...

"God is on the side of the big battalions." Napoleon Bonaparte.

Now of course that ain't necessarily always so, but it is more often than not.

LSP said...

I'm no expert, Wild, but there does seem to be a mathematics/size logic to war. You'll recall the Japs complained about it in the last Big One.

Let's see how this plays out. In the meanwhile, hundreds of thousands have died, not least to make some people even richer than they already are. I hate that.